Lauda vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
64.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
HAN
3 - 3
VFB
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1980 |
VFB
6 - 2
RWL
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
BRE
4 - 0
VFB
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1980 |
VFB
0 - 0
SCH
63%
23%
15%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1980 |
ROT
4 - 1
VFB
84%
11%
6%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -1 |