Lauda vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
56.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
SVS
0 - 0
FVL
53%
26%
21%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
FVL
1 - 0
FRE
58%
23%
20%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
FVL
0 - 1
LUD
35%
26%
38%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
CRA
4 - 1
FVL
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
FVL
2 - 1
WEI
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
ULM
4 - 0
LUD
72%
16%
11%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
WEI
2 - 2
ULM
20%
23%
58%
|
61 | 23 | 38 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ULM
3 - 0
KSC
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
LIN
2 - 3
ULM
24%
26%
51%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ULM
1 - 1
BAH
77%
15%
9%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | -1 |