Lauda vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
67.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
STU
1 - 0
FVL
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
LUD
2 - 2
FVL
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
FVL
1 - 1
SDO
61%
23%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
BON
2 - 0
FVL
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
FVL
0 - 0
FRE
39%
28%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
ULM
5 - 2
SDO
79%
14%
8%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
BON
0 - 2
ULM
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
ULM
2 - 1
FRE
84%
12%
5%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
FCT
2 - 0
ULM
20%
23%
58%
|
66 | 17 | 49 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
ULM
3 - 2
PFO
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | 0 |