Lauda vs Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
BON
2 - 0
FVL
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
FVL
0 - 0
FRE
39%
28%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
FCT
0 - 2
FVL
24%
24%
51%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
FVL
4 - 1
PFO
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
AJL
1 - 0
FVL
47%
26%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
LUD
2 - 2
SDO
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
SDO
1 - 1
BON
30%
27%
42%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
FRE
2 - 0
SDO
69%
20%
11%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
PFO
3 - 2
SDO
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
SDO
0 - 1
AJL
37%
27%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |