Lauda vs Reutlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
64.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
HEI
4 - 2
FVL
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
FVL
3 - 0
LUD
44%
27%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
KSC
2 - 0
FVL
75%
17%
8%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
FVL
2 - 2
NOR
55%
23%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
SVS
1 - 0
FVL
75%
18%
8%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Reutlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
REU
3 - 3
VFR
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
REU
1 - 1
FRE
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
HEI
4 - 4
REU
53%
23%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
REU
2 - 0
LUD
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
KSC
0 - 0
REU
30%
26%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |