Lauda vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
46.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
FVL
0 - 0
ASV
67%
21%
12%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
NOR
0 - 0
FVL
53%
24%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
FVL
0 - 1
SGS
35%
26%
40%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
FRE
2 - 0
FVL
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
FVL
0 - 0
VFR
43%
27%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
WAL
0 - 1
NOT
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
NOT
1 - 2
REU
25%
25%
50%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
FRE
1 - 1
NOT
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
NOT
1 - 1
ULM
26%
25%
50%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
HEI
2 - 2
NOT
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |