Lauda vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ULM
2 - 2
FVL
86%
11%
4%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
FVL
1 - 0
STU
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
FVL
2 - 1
LUD
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
SDO
1 - 1
FVL
43%
27%
31%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
FVL
1 - 0
BON
58%
24%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
NOT
2 - 0
SDO
50%
24%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
BON
1 - 0
NOT
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
NOT
2 - 1
FRE
36%
25%
38%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
FCT
0 - 3
NOT
28%
24%
48%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2002 |
NOT
2 - 3
PFO
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |