Lauda vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
SVS
1 - 0
FVL
75%
18%
8%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
FVL
1 - 2
HOF
35%
26%
39%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
FVL
1 - 1
CRA
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 0
FVL
80%
15%
6%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
FRE
3 - 1
FVL
53%
26%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 2
VFR
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
REU
3 - 1
NOR
85%
11%
5%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
NOR
5 - 2
HEI
12%
20%
68%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
LUD
0 - 3
NOR
82%
12%
7%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
NOR
0 - 0
KSC
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | +1 |