Lauda vs Hoffenheim II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
REU
1 - 1
FVL
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
NOT
2 - 0
FVL
45%
26%
30%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
FVL
4 - 1
AJL
48%
26%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
ULM
1 - 2
FVL
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
FVL
3 - 0
SVS
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Hoffenheim II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
HOF
0 - 1
AJL
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
SVS
0 - 2
HOF
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
HOF
3 - 0
FRE
68%
18%
13%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
CRA
2 - 0
HOF
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -3 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
HOF
1 - 1
WAL
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +1 |