Lauda vs Freiburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
51.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
VFR
1 - 1
FVL
78%
16%
6%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
FVL
3 - 4
REU
13%
22%
64%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
HEI
4 - 2
FVL
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
FVL
3 - 0
LUD
44%
27%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
KSC
2 - 0
FVL
75%
17%
8%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FRE
3 - 0
WAL
35%
26%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
VFR
1 - 0
FRE
58%
23%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
FRE
3 - 1
CRA
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
REU
1 - 1
FRE
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
FRE
5 - 3
FRE
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |