Lauda vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
FVL
0 - 1
LUD
35%
26%
38%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
CRA
4 - 1
FVL
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
FVL
2 - 1
WEI
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
WAL
2 - 0
FVL
75%
17%
9%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
FVL
0 - 1
KSC
37%
26%
36%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
CRA
2 - 1
FRE
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
FRE
2 - 1
WAL
13%
20%
67%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
FRE
3 - 2
FRE
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FRE
0 - 2
BON
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
STU
2 - 2
FRE
64%
21%
16%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |