Lauda vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
NOT
2 - 0
FVL
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
FVL
0 - 2
ULM
12%
21%
68%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
STU
1 - 0
FVL
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
LUD
2 - 2
FVL
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
FVL
1 - 1
SDO
61%
23%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
FRE
1 - 1
SDO
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
BON
0 - 1
FRE
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
FRE
1 - 4
FRE
45%
24%
30%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
FCT
0 - 0
FRE
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
FRE
0 - 1
PFO
52%
21%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |