Lauda vs Bonlanden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
FRE
0 - 0
FVL
53%
25%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
FVL
2 - 4
FCT
73%
18%
10%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
PFO
2 - 0
FVL
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
FVL
4 - 2
AJL
42%
26%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2002 |
STU
4 - 0
FVL
68%
20%
12%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bonlanden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
BON
1 - 0
SDO
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
BON
2 - 2
LUD
27%
25%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
FRE
1 - 0
BON
67%
21%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
BON
1 - 3
FCT
76%
15%
8%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
PFO
0 - 1
BON
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |