Eppelborn vs Viktoria Herxheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
15.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
14º
13º
23
7º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 79 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 79 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 72 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 30 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 29 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 38% |
|
Relegation
|
55% | 62% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eppelborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ENG
7 - 1
EPP
48%
21%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
EPP
2 - 5
KAI
9%
15%
76%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TUS
4 - 1
EPP
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
EPP
2 - 3
PIR
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
EPP
3 - 1
WWO
17%
20%
63%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Viktoria Herxheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VHE
2 - 2
GON
14%
18%
68%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
EIS
0 - 3
VHE
78%
13%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
VHE
0 - 3
KOB
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 1
VHE
78%
13%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
VHE
3 - 2
MOR
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |