Eppelborn vs Gonsenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
70.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
12º
12º
17
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 24% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 19% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 57% |
|
Relegation
|
32.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eppelborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EIS
3 - 2
EPP
38%
21%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EPP
2 - 1
KOB
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
4 - 1
EPP
51%
21%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
EPP
2 - 1
MOR
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 4
EPP
72%
16%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Gonsenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AUE
2 - 3
GON
22%
21%
57%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GON
6 - 1
EIS
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KOB
1 - 1
GON
24%
22%
54%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GON
1 - 2
KAR
79%
14%
8%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 4
GON
18%
21%
61%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |