Eppelborn vs Diefflen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
43.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
14º
13º
22
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 79 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 79 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 72 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 30 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 29 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation
|
55% | 24.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eppelborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
EPP
3 - 1
MEC
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SMA
11 - 0
EPP
89%
8%
3%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
EPP
1 - 3
VHE
68%
16%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ENG
7 - 1
EPP
48%
21%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -3 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
EPP
2 - 5
KAI
9%
15%
76%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Diefflen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
GON
3 - 1
DIE
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
DIE
4 - 0
EIS
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
KOB
4 - 1
DIE
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DIE
0 - 0
KAR
51%
21%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
4 - 3
DIE
27%
20%
53%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |