FV Endenich vs SpVgg Frechen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
75.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
10º
16º
13º
55
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FV Endenich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
KON
3 - 0
FVE
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FVE
0 - 1
BER
7%
14%
80%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SVE
4 - 1
FVE
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FVE
1 - 0
SIE
8%
14%
78%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +3 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
H05
4 - 0
FVE
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 2
SPF
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VFL
3 - 4
SPF
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 0
SCF
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SPV
0 - 1
SPF
12%
17%
72%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 1
HUR
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +3 |