FV Endenich vs Hennef 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
39.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
11º
11º
2
7º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 66 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 59 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 54 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 51 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 46 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 45 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 41 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 41 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 36 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 36 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 33 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
2 | 31 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 29 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 28 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 28 |
16º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
27% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FV Endenich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
USC
0 - 0
FVE
40%
22%
39%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FVE
4 - 3
SPV
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SPF
0 - 4
FVE
78%
14%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +3 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FVE
3 - 0
FBH
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
FVE
1 - 2
BSC
11%
20%
69%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
H05
0 - 6
SIE
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HUR
0 - 0
H05
30%
22%
47%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
H05
1 - 1
PES
40%
23%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HIL
1 - 0
H05
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
BFR
4 - 1
H05
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |