FV Endenich vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
79.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
10º
16º
13º
52
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FV Endenich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SVE
4 - 1
FVE
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FVE
1 - 0
SIE
8%
14%
78%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | +3 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
H05
4 - 0
FVE
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FVE
1 - 6
VFL
6%
11%
83%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SPV
4 - 1
FVE
33%
22%
46%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 6
KOL
5%
12%
83%
|
42 | 84 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 3
BER
23%
22%
56%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BER
0 - 2
VFL
48%
24%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 5
BER
24%
21%
55%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BER
3 - 2
SPV
88%
8%
4%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |