Bad Vilbel vs Wattenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2006 |
FVB
4 - 0
SGB
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
VEL
4 - 0
FVB
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -3 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
HES
4 - 0
FVB
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
FVB
0 - 2
BAY
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
FVB
1 - 1
ERZ
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Wattenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
ERZ
5 - 1
WAT
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2006 |
WAT
1 - 2
SGB
18%
22%
60%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2006 |
WAT
2 - 2
BAU
14%
20%
66%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
WAT
1 - 1
BAY
12%
20%
68%
|
8 | 30 | 22 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
FRA
4 - 0
WAT
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | -1 |