Bad Vilbel vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
FVB
3 - 2
BUC
71%
18%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ERZ
0 - 0
FVB
61%
21%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
FVB
1 - 1
WOR
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
ESC
3 - 0
FVB
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
FVB
1 - 4
HES
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
MAR
4 - 2
ERZ
41%
25%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
WOR
1 - 2
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 3
ESC
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
HES
1 - 0
MAR
63%
20%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 5
SCN
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |