Bad Vilbel vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
5.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
EDE
0 - 3
FVB
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
FVB
0 - 0
KKA
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
VFB
0 - 3
FVB
41%
26%
32%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
FVB
9 - 0
FVS
79%
14%
8%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
EDE
2 - 1
FVB
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 2
VIK
16%
21%
64%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1999 |
KKA
4 - 0
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |