Bad Vilbel vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
ESC
0 - 0
FVB
84%
12%
5%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
FVB
2 - 3
SWM
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
GOR
1 - 0
FVB
59%
22%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
KKA
1 - 1
FVB
44%
27%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
FVB
0 - 0
MAR
39%
25%
36%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 4
KKA
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ESC
3 - 0
VEL
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 5
FRA
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
VEL
3 - 2
BUC
31%
26%
43%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
SWM
2 - 3
VEL
19%
23%
59%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |