Bad Vilbel vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
FVB
2 - 1
FSV
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
EWM
3 - 1
FVB
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2002 |
FVB
2 - 0
LOH
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2002 |
BAU
6 - 2
FVB
43%
26%
32%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
VIK
1 - 3
FVB
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
SVB
1 - 1
VEL
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
VEL
0 - 2
MAR
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
WOR
1 - 1
VEL
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
VEL
0 - 2
ERZ
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
VEL
3 - 1
BUR
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +2 |