Bad Vilbel vs Wörsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BUC
3 - 1
FVB
61%
22%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
FRA
3 - 0
FVB
53%
24%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
FVB
2 - 3
BAU
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
BAY
2 - 0
FVB
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
FVB
0 - 3
FRA
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Wörsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
WOR
0 - 2
VIK
45%
26%
29%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
WOR
1 - 1
BUC
38%
29%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
WOR
0 - 0
SWM
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
FRA
1 - 0
WOR
48%
26%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
BAY
0 - 3
WOR
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |