Bad Vilbel vs Wörsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
SVB
1 - 2
FVB
26%
26%
48%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 5
FVB
53%
24%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
FVB
0 - 3
ESC
19%
23%
58%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 2
FVB
35%
27%
39%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
SWM
1 - 2
FVB
33%
25%
42%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Wörsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
WOR
1 - 3
ESC
16%
24%
60%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
SWM
2 - 5
WOR
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
WOR
3 - 0
GOR
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 3
WOR
39%
28%
33%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
BAU
1 - 1
WOR
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |