Bad Vilbel vs Wörsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
ESC
3 - 0
FVB
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
FVB
1 - 4
HES
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2002 |
VEL
2 - 0
FVB
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
SCN
1 - 5
FVB
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
FVB
1 - 1
VIK
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wörsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
WOR
0 - 2
ERZ
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2002 |
BUC
2 - 1
WOR
31%
25%
45%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
ESC
1 - 1
WOR
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
WOR
1 - 2
HES
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
SCN
1 - 1
WOR
58%
21%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |