Bad Vilbel vs Erzhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
WOR
3 - 1
FVB
59%
21%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
FVB
1 - 3
ESC
24%
24%
52%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
FVB
1 - 2
EWM
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
HES
0 - 0
FVB
75%
16%
8%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
FVB
2 - 1
SCN
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
ERZ
1 - 0
BUC
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
ERZ
1 - 0
WOR
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
WAL
1 - 0
ERZ
26%
24%
50%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
ERZ
0 - 0
FSV
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
ESC
5 - 2
ERZ
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |