Bad Vilbel vs Erzhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2001 |
BUR
1 - 1
FVB
32%
27%
41%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
FVB
2 - 0
BAU
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
JUG
0 - 3
FVB
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
FVB
5 - 1
WOR
67%
19%
15%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 1
FVB
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2001 |
ERZ
4 - 1
VIK
62%
21%
18%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
ERZ
2 - 2
VEL
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
BUR
1 - 1
ERZ
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
BAU
1 - 1
ERZ
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
ERZ
2 - 4
SVB
57%
22%
20%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |