Bad Vilbel vs Bernbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2004 |
FSV
3 - 0
FVB
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FVB
3 - 5
WOR
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 2
FVB
35%
27%
38%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VIK
2 - 3
FVB
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
FVB
0 - 2
BAU
56%
23%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
SVB
3 - 0
BAU
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
FUL
4 - 2
SVB
79%
15%
7%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
SVB
1 - 1
BRA
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
ERZ
4 - 1
SVB
75%
17%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SVB
1 - 0
HUN
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |