Bad Vilbel vs Bernbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2002 |
SCN
2 - 2
FVB
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
FVB
4 - 0
SGW
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2002 |
BUC
0 - 1
FVB
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2002 |
FVB
2 - 1
SGH
51%
24%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
FSV
3 - 2
FVB
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2002 |
SVB
3 - 2
BUR
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
BAU
6 - 1
SVB
52%
24%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2002 |
SVB
5 - 2
JUG
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
WOR
3 - 1
SVB
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
SVB
1 - 3
MAR
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |