Bad Vilbel vs Bernbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
SCN
2 - 1
FVB
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
VFB
3 - 3
FVB
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
FVB
0 - 0
FSV
47%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2001 |
FVB
2 - 1
EDE
72%
17%
12%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
VIK
3 - 1
FVB
42%
26%
33%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
BAU
3 - 0
SVB
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
SVB
3 - 1
VEL
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
SVB
3 - 2
VFB
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
FSV
2 - 0
SVB
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
SVB
0 - 0
FUL
31%
25%
44%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |