Bad Vilbel vs 01 Hoechst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
FSV
3 - 2
FVB
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
ERZ
3 - 0
FVB
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2002 |
BAU
1 - 2
FVB
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
FVB
1 - 0
BUR
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
ESC
0 - 1
FVB
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
01 Hoechst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2002 |
WOR
3 - 1
SGH
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
SGH
3 - 0
BUR
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
BAU
1 - 0
SGH
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
VIK
3 - 0
SGH
41%
25%
35%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
SGH
2 - 1
JUG
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |