Bad Vilbel vs Würges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
FSV
5 - 0
FVB
81%
14%
6%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
FVB
1 - 1
VEL
53%
24%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ESC
5 - 0
FVB
69%
19%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
FVB
2 - 5
SVB
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
WAL
2 - 1
FVB
65%
21%
14%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
WOR
0 - 1
WUR
46%
25%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
WUR
1 - 2
FRA
48%
21%
31%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
BAU
2 - 1
WUR
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
WUR
1 - 1
BAY
57%
21%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
FER
1 - 2
WUR
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |