Bad Vilbel vs Eschborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
FVB
1 - 2
EWM
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
HES
0 - 0
FVB
75%
16%
8%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
FVB
2 - 1
SCN
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
VIK
2 - 1
FVB
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
FVB
1 - 3
KKA
40%
26%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Eschborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
ESC
3 - 1
FUL
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
ESC
5 - 2
ERZ
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
WOR
0 - 0
ESC
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
ESC
3 - 0
BUC
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
ESC
3 - 2
HES
51%
23%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |