Bad Vilbel vs Buchonia Flieden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
SWM
1 - 1
FVB
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
FVB
2 - 1
ESC
54%
23%
23%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
FVB
3 - 2
WAL
26%
26%
48%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
VIK
0 - 0
FVB
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
WOR
4 - 2
FVB
49%
26%
26%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Buchonia Flieden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
BUC
1 - 1
VIK
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BUC
1 - 1
VEL
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
ESC
1 - 1
BUC
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
BUC
2 - 3
SVB
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
WAL
4 - 2
BUC
64%
22%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |