Bad Vilbel vs Buchonia Flieden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
SGH
1 - 0
FVB
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
FVB
2 - 2
FSV
34%
24%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
FVB
1 - 1
ERZ
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2001 |
BUR
1 - 1
FVB
32%
27%
41%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
FVB
2 - 0
BAU
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Buchonia Flieden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
BUC
1 - 1
BUR
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
BAU
0 - 2
BUC
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
BUC
3 - 1
JUG
22%
23%
56%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
WOR
3 - 0
BUC
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
BUC
1 - 9
MAR
20%
23%
57%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |