Bad Vilbel vs Bayern Alzenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
FVB
1 - 1
ERZ
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
GOR
0 - 1
FVB
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
FVB
2 - 0
KKA
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
SWM
1 - 4
FVB
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
FVB
2 - 1
FSV
26%
24%
49%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Bayern Alzenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
FSV
0 - 2
BAY
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
BAY
0 - 0
BUC
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
BAY
2 - 2
SGB
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
BAY
2 - 0
SWM
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
VEL
2 - 4
BAY
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |