Futura vs PEPO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
55.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
10º
10º
28
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Futura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
EBK
4 - 2
FUT
44%
20%
36%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FUT
1 - 1
MYP
44%
21%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TAM
7 - 1
FUT
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FUT
3 - 5
PEP
31%
21%
49%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCR
4 - 0
FUT
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
PEPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GRI
2 - 1
PEP
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
PEP
2 - 4
JIP
37%
25%
39%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MYP
0 - 2
PEP
35%
21%
44%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PEP
2 - 1
MYP
58%
20%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PEP
3 - 2
ATL
30%
22%
49%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |