FC San Marcos vs Juan Pablo II College analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 2
FSM
39%
22%
39%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 1
USD
32%
21%
47%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
USD
0 - 0
FSM
53%
21%
27%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FSM
2 - 0
JJL
51%
21%
28%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
JJL
0 - 0
FSM
29%
21%
50%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Pablo II College
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
DRJ
1 - 2
JPC
49%
21%
29%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TAR
0 - 0
JPC
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 57 | 47 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
JPC
2 - 1
TAR
7%
13%
81%
|
9 | 57 | 48 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CDH
4 - 5
JPC
55%
20%
25%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
JPC
1 - 1
CDH
25%
20%
55%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |