FC San Marcos vs Alfonso Ugarte Chiclín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAF
3 - 2
FSM
24%
24%
52%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 0
SAF
45%
22%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AUC
0 - 1
FSM
28%
21%
51%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 2
CSM
10%
14%
76%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte Chiclín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AUC
1 - 3
CDP
27%
24%
49%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CDP
4 - 2
AUC
46%
22%
33%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AUC
0 - 1
FSM
28%
21%
51%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
DTA
5 - 1
AUC
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -2 |