Pas de la Casa vs Carroi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
5º
10º
7º
12
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 9% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pas de la Casa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
PAC
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 2
AME
64%
18%
17%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SCO
3 - 2
PAC
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
PAC
0 - 2
ATL
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 1
FCO
53%
22%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 5
UES
14%
22%
64%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 4
ESA
65%
19%
17%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
UES
16%
20%
64%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
INT
3 - 1
CAR
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
AME
1 - 3
CAR
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |