Pas de la Casa vs Carroi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
5º
10º
7º
12
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 9% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pas de la Casa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
PAC
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PAC
8 - 0
FCR
76%
15%
8%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 3
PAC
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PAC
2 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
AME
2 - 2
PAC
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Carroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
AME
48%
23%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
UEE
0 - 2
CAR
34%
23%
43%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
UEE
53%
21%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
AME
2 - 3
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
ESA
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |