Pas de la Casa vs Carroi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
3º
1º
33
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 50 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 46 |
3º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 34 |
5º
|
99.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 31 |
6º
|
99.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 12 |
9º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 12 |
10º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pas de la Casa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ENG
0 - 9
PAC
12%
19%
69%
|
60 | 18 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 3
PAC
14%
20%
67%
|
60 | 20 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PAC
6 - 1
SCO
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AME
0 - 3
PAC
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
FCR
0 - 3
PAC
10%
16%
75%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Carroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
6 - 1
FCE
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ESA
1 - 0
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
5 - 1
LAM
35%
22%
43%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FCR
1 - 2
CAR
29%
22%
49%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 0
ENG
92%
6%
2%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |