Pas de la Casa vs Atlètic Amèrica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
5º
10º
7º
11
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pas de la Casa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SCO
3 - 2
PAC
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
PAC
0 - 2
ATL
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 1
FCO
53%
22%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PAC
0 - 3
INT
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FCO
1 - 0
PAC
40%
23%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atlètic Amèrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 2
AME
36%
23%
40%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
UES
6 - 0
AME
74%
18%
8%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
AME
1 - 3
CAR
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
AME
0 - 3
INT
7%
16%
77%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AME
1 - 4
ATL
16%
21%
62%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |