Ferreiras vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 2
FER
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
PIN
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BEN
7 - 2
FER
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LOU
0 - 3
FER
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FER
0 - 2
MAF
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SER
3 - 1
LOU
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MAF
0 - 0
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
UDL
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SER
0 - 0
BEN
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
2 - 1
SER
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |