Ferreiras vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
61.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PRA
5 - 1
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
FER
0 - 1
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FER
2 - 3
MOU
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FER
3 - 1
LUS
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 1
FER
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ORI
2 - 1
SAC
47%
28%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 1
ORI
13%
22%
65%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ORI
0 - 0
IDE
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
1DE
0 - 2
ORI
22%
25%
53%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
ORI
13%
22%
65%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |