Ferreiras vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
PIN
27%
26%
48%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
0 - 1
FER
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
UNI
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 2
FER
53%
22%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -3 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 2
FER
18%
21%
60%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MOU
1 - 3
LOU
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 3
MOU
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 0
ALM
83%
12%
6%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 1
MOU
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -3 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 0
MOU
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | +1 |