Ferreiras vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
QUA
0 - 0
FER
33%
24%
44%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
ANG
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
FER
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
MOU
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
PRA
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 0
LUS
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 1
ALJ
67%
18%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
OPE
4 - 0
LUS
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 2
LUS
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 0
PRA
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |