Ferreiras vs Lagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
QUA
1 - 1
FER
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
FER
1 - 2
COV
26%
25%
50%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MOU
1 - 1
FER
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
PIN
3 - 0
FER
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
LOU
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 1
LOU
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
LAG
68%
19%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
LAG
0 - 0
ALM
63%
19%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FCB
1 - 0
LAG
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 2
PIN
26%
26%
48%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |